Why Iranian cyber warfare may escalate soon

Why Iranian cyber warfare may escalate soon
Iran never needed any provocation to unleash its hacking squads. In November of 2015, the New York Times reported “a surge in sophisticated computer espionage” by hackers based in Iran Image Credit: Supplied

Experts are warning that the US should expect more cyberattacks by Iranian hackers in retaliation for the death of General Qasim Soleimani. Maybe they’re right. But let’s not kid ourselves: Iran would be launching lots of cyberattacks anyway.


And the danger of escalation would be ever-present.’


So far, despite the warnings, security researchers report that little has yet materialised. But that doesn’t mean nothing major will happen. Iranian’s official and semi-official hackers are among the best in the world, and both the US government and private industry are bracing for possible attacks. Crucial sites are much better protected than they were a few years ago, but no protection will ever be perfect.

So far, the cyber-blows exchanged by Iran and the US haven’t been hard enough to hurt in any deep and profound sense, even during the current atmosphere of crisis. The canoes have stayed afloat. One expert suggested that all we’re likely to see is small-scale interruptions and nuisance activities with limited impact

- Stephen L. Carter

Attractive targets


Infrastructure, always an attractive target, has long been a focus of Iran’s hackers, particularly the group known as APT33 or Refined Kitten. Recent news reports have singled out Refined Kitten’s constant “password-spraying,” the relatively low-tech tactic of flooding infrastructure targets.


Last June, for instance, the US retaliated for Iranian attacks on oil tankers and the downing of a drone by launching cyber assaults against “an Iranian intelligence group” believed to be involved. The US action also followed a spike in effor ..

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