With geopolitical tensions against the United States continuing to heat up, a new cyber superpower and formidable adversary is quickly emerging to join Iran, Russia, China, and North Korea as a top nation-state adversary: India.
Geopolitical Factors Boost India's Cyber-Threat ActivityIndia's cyber capabilities are growing, at least partially in reaction to activities across the border in China. The rise of China and its apparent expansionist activity is likely to motivate Indian actors with varying levels of state support to act. This provides fertile ground for the development of national offensive cyber capabilities and crime.
Diplomatic relations between India and China are at a low point, with troops fighting along the border in the western Himalayas in mid-2020. China is also considering a plan to construct dams on a section of the Brahmaputra river, which could cause downstream water shortages through Bangladesh.
At the same time, unemployment in India as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic has created a very large population of technically skilled people in need of income. Reports indicate that this has caused an uptick in cybercrime from India — presumably from the younger, tech-educated population.
India has also banned over 200 Chinese apps over security concerns, both to curtail surveillance activity and to make its digital sovereignty clear. This confluence of drivers has created patriotic and profit incentives, and the "bench" of technically adept actors is enormous. In ..
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