Bitcoin ‘power law’ model forecasts $200K BTC price in 2025

Key takeaways:

  • Based on power curve trends, Bitcoin may hit $200,000 in Q4 2025.

  • Bitcoin follows gold’s price trend with a 100-150 day lag.

  • Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has rallied 11% this week, its best weekly return in 2025 and its highest seven-day growth since early November 2024. Bitcoin also reached $95,000 on April 25 for the first time since Feb. 24. 

    Bitcoin 1-week chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

    21st Capital co-founder Sina mentioned that Bitcoin reclaimed the power-law price. The power law's predictive accuracy stems from Bitcoin's network growth following Metcalfe's Law, where value scales with the square of users. 

    Based on Sina’s Bitcoin Quantile ..

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